⚾ TheHomeRuns.org 2026
15-Day HR Leaders
1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs 1 Juan Soto 5 HRs · 2 Jarren Duran 5 HRs · 3 Julio Rodríguez 5 HRs · 4 Gunnar Henderson 4 HRs · 5 Christian Walker 4 HRs · 6 Casey Schmitt 4 HRs · 7 Spencer Horwitz 4 HRs · 8 Yandy Díaz 4 HRs · 9 Michael Harris II 4 HRs · 10 Manny Machado 4 HRs · 11 Joc Pederson 4 HRs · 12 Dillon Dingler 4 HRs
Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
MIL LHB
Jake Bauers

Jake Bauers

LHB
MIL · 35 appearances tracked
5
HRs ?Total home runs hit while this batter appeared in the model's scored pool this season.
14.3%
HR Rate ?Percentage of scored appearances where this batter hit a home run. Higher = more reliable power output.
29.5%
Avg HR/FB ?Average HR-per-fly-ball rate across appearances. Measures how often fly balls leave the yard — above 16% is elite, above 12% is strong.
93.0
Avg EV ?Average exit velocity (mph) on batted balls. Hard contact is the best predictor of HR power — 92+ is elite, 89+ is strong.
0.219
ISO ?Isolated Power — measures raw extra-base-hit ability (SLG minus AVG). .220+ is elite power, .180+ is above average.
#16
Best Rank ?Highest model ranking this batter has achieved on a single slate. #1 means the model rated them the top HR candidate that day.
HR Cadence Typically goes yard every 6 games · 5 HRs in 35 games
Due (1×)
0.5×
Dueness ?Games since last HR ÷ typical cadence. 1.0× = right on schedule. Above 1.0× = overdue relative to their own baseline. 1.5×+ = significantly overdue.
3
Games Since HR ?How many games (appearances in the scored pool) since this batter's last home run.
6
Typical Cadence ?Median number of games between home runs this season. Uses median (not average) for robustness against streaky outliers. Requires 3+ HRs to establish a baseline.
Games between HRs ?Each bar = the number of games between consecutive HRs. The final highlighted bar is the current gap (still open). Bars above the typical cadence are colored differently.
35
Appearances ?Total times this batter has appeared in the model's daily scored pool this season.
14
Top-50 Days ?Number of days this batter ranked in the top 50 on the slate. Top-50 is the model's primary recommendation zone.
3
HRs in Top 50 ?Home runs hit on days when the model ranked this batter in the top 50. Measures how often the model correctly surfaced this batter before they went deep.
60%
Catch Rate ?Percentage of this batter's HRs that occurred when the model had them ranked in the top 50. Higher = model does a good job timing this batter. 60%+ is excellent.
#66.2
Avg Rank ?This batter's average model rank across all appearances. Lower = the model consistently rates them highly.
Rank Trend
lower rank = better · green dots = HR days
HR Days (While Top 50)
3 homers captured
DateRankPitcherStadium B/P WT BP EV Distance
2026-04-12 #23 Zack Littell American Family Field L/R 104.7 mph 391.0 ft
2026-05-18 #32 Shota Imanaga Wrigley Field L/L 🔥 106.2 mph 419.0 ft
2026-05-26 #46 Michael McGreevy American Family Field L/R ⚠️ 102.3 mph 394.0 ft
All Appearances
35 total · newest first
DateRankPitcher B/P HR/FB Tier Form WT BP HR?
2026-05-30 #42 Peter Lambert L/R * 22.5% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-29 #20 Kai-Wei Teng L/R * 32.1% 🟢 A 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-27 #40 Dustin May L/R * 24.8% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ⚠️ ·
2026-05-26 #46 Michael McGreevy L/R * 17.6% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ⚠️ 💥
2026-05-24 #49 Yoshinobu Yamamoto L/R * 17.9% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-23 #16 Roki Sasaki L/R * 26.4% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-22 #44 Justin Wrobleski L/L * 27.8% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-20 #26 Edward Cabrera L/R * 32.3% 🟢 A 📈 WARM ·
2026-05-19 #29 Ben Brown L/R * 21.1% 🔵 C+ 📈 WARM 🔥 ·
2026-05-18 #32 Shota Imanaga L/L * 18.9% ⚪ D 🔥 HOT 🔥 💥
2026-05-17 #67 Bailey Ober L/R * 21.0% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL ·
2026-05-15 #121 Joe Ryan L/R * 18.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ·
2026-05-13 #115 Michael King L/R * 15.2% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-12 #75 Matt Waldron L/R * 19.5% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ ·
2026-05-09 #127 Cam Schlittler L/R * 10.4% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ 💥
2026-05-08 #108 Max Fried L/L * 9.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-06 #170 Andre Pallante L/R * 15.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-05 #75 Andre Pallante L/R * 16.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-04 #72 Kyle Leahy L/R * 21.7% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ⚠️ ·
2026-05-03 #67 Zack Littell L/R * 25.1% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-02 #65 Foster Griffin L/L * 16.1% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-05-01 #31 Jake Irvin L/R * 18.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-04-30 #58 Michael Soroka L/R * 17.2% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-04-29 #126 Eduardo Rodriguez L/L 14.8% ⚪ D 📉 COOL 🔥 ·
2026-04-26 #52 Carmen Mlodzinski L/R * 17.7% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-25 #121 Mitch Keller L/R 17.2% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-24 #98 Paul Skenes L/R 20.6% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-22 #54 Casey Mize L/R 27.4% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-21 #48 Keider Montero L/R 22.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 🔥 ·
2026-04-19 #51 Eury Pérez L/R 31.7% 🟢 A ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-18 #77 Sandy Alcantara L/R 28.7% 🔵 C+ 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-17 #59 Janson Junk L/R 32.2% 🟢 A 📉 COOL ·
2026-04-15 #23 Dylan Cease L/R 17.1% ⚪ D ➖ NTRL ·
2026-04-12 #23 Zack Littell L/R 21.9% 🔵 C+ ➖ NTRL 💥
2026-04-10 #90 Jake Irvin L/R 12.7% ⚪ D ❄ COLD ⚠️ 💥

Jake Bauers's full profile is waiting

Create an account or upgrade to see the complete rank trend, HR history, matchup log, and every signal behind this batter profile.

31 more waiting in the on-deck circle
LD 3.2.70

The top 10 picks. Every morning.

Free daily home run predictions from the model, in your inbox before first pitch.

No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. Just picks and results.